Chuck Tackleton
Jadarian Price
RB · SEA Active
- Age
- —
- Experience
- —
- Height
- —
- Weight
- —
- College
- —
| Season | Career | |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy | ||
| Points per game | — | — |
| RB stats | ||
| Carry share | — | — |
| Target share | — | — |
| Touches per game | — | — |
| Touchdowns | — | — |
There is no measured usage on file for Price this season, so his role, snap share, and carry trend are all unknown rather than data-supported, which puts real weight on the news lines instead of the box score. ESPN's 14.1-point weekly projection and 94.4% ownership imply an expected lead-back workload, but that clashes with reporting that Seattle is "taking it slow" with him and a Week 1 debut still being characterized as a debate against Holani for the lead-RB role, plus a recent minor-issue absence scare. With 7.80 points already scored, he's tracking near but not conclusively confirming the projection. The one thing to watch this week is whether Seattle's committee approach yields him enough carries/targets to justify his ADP-driven ownership, since the qualitative reports currently outweigh any confirmed statistical trend.
This Week
4.9 to 22.6, most likely 14.1
Season: 97.8 to 195.7, most likely 150.5
Usage
| Last 3 | Last Season | This Season | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per game | — | — | — |
| Snap share | — | — | — |
| Carry share | — | — | — |
| Target share | — | — | — |
| Touches per game | — | — | — |
| Touchdowns | — | — | — |
Role and Availability
2025: played 0 of 17, 1 multi-game absence; 2024: played 0 of 17, 1 multi-game absence.
What Chuck Weighed
- Usage stickiness (how well shares of targets, carries and snaps persist, by position and horizon) (90% sure)
- Rookie-year finish as the year-2 and year-3 breakout signal (WR and RB, with target share, TE and QB) (68% sure)
- Situational factors (wind, cold, dome, rest, Vegas implied total and spread) (68% sure)
- Draft capital as a breakout prior (early-career top-24 rates by round for WR and RB, top-12 for TE and QB) (65% sure)
- Touchdown regression (how much of TD rate is noise, expected TDs from opportunity location, QB included) (65% sure)
- Ball-share shifts (what moves when a teammate is absent or the QB changes, how fast, how long it sticks) (64% sure)
- Processing injury news and practice reports (62% sure)
- Team-change discount (how much prior-season usage share survives a move, and why a QB change alone is not a discount) (62% sure)
- Player range of outcomes (distributions, injury base rates, age curves) (61% sure)
- Bye weeks and fantasy playoff schedule planning (60% sure)
- Weekly lineup optimization (60% sure)
- No-prior PPG shrink (what a rookie or a player without a qualifying prior season shrinks his season-to-date points toward, and how many pseudo-games the draft-capital prior is worth) (60% sure)
- Window length of the in-season PPG shrink (the whole season to date beats the last four games; recency weighting, a week term and a points-scale fit add nothing) (60% sure)
- PPG-level in-season shrink (how much of a trailing-4-game points ratio carries into the next game, and whether it beats the raw average and the share blend for projecting points) (60% sure)
- How many games of usage to trust (the in-season window) (60% sure)
- Scoring distribution shape (weekly spread around expectation, next-season PPG spread, by position and tier) (60% sure)
- Team range of outcomes (season simulation, playoff and title odds) (60% sure)
- Correlation and stacking between roster players (60% sure)
- Football probability base rates (variance, TD regression, sticky stats, game environment) (60% sure)
- Quarterback interception regression (season INT rate is noise; volume and depth mix are what carry) (60% sure)
- In-season efficiency as a points trigger (a weeks 1-6 YPC or yards-per-target fall adds nothing to the trailing points average; measured null) (55% sure)
- Pseudo-game blend of the in-season PPG shrink (the prior season is worth about 4-5 games, but blending by games played adds nothing to the fixed season-to-date line; measured null) (55% sure)
- Signals inside a draft-round tier (pick slot within round 1 and age at NFL entry add nothing to round; measured null) (50% sure)
- QB quality and receiver points (how much a passer's quality moves his receivers' points, and why a new passer's prior season predicts none of it) (50% sure)
- Veteran decline signals (age by position, early-season snap-share drift, efficiency proxies) (25% sure)
- Soft breakout signals (camp reports, preseason usage, college breakout age, age at breakout) (not yet measured)
- Coaching and play-caller change (how much of last season's share survives a new offense) (not yet measured)
Updated yesterday 6:06 pm ET